The QuickPicks Meta: Why MLB Projections Are Dominating Payouts

QuickPicks is built different. It’s not you versus the house. It’s you versus everyone else. And when you take a look at the biggest payouts from the past week, a clear trend is starting to form.

The current meta leans heavily on Less picks, MLB projections, and finding value where most users aren’t looking.

We dug into the data from our top-paying entries over the past few days. Here’s what stood out.

Less Is More

A huge majority of the winning entries leaned toward the Less side of projections. In fact, more than 85% of the top-performing picks were Less selections. That doesn’t mean Less always hits, but it shows how often the public leans toward optimism.

In a peer-to-peer format, that kind of groupthink matters. When most people go More, the upside in taking Less becomes not just statistical, but strategic. You're separating yourself from the field and gaining leverage when those projections fall short.

MLB Is King (For Now)

While QuickPicks spans many major sports, MLB projections led the charge in top payouts, accounting for the majority of the highest winning entries. Why?

Baseball offers more variance than people think. Simple projections like runs, earned runs, or total bases can swing wildly, and that unpredictability is exactly what opens up opportunity.

The numbers suggest users who capitalize on underpicked MLB projections — especially those in the Less direction — are seeing big returns.

Players Flying Under the Radar

In the highest-paying entries, we saw a lot of names that didn’t dominate headlines. This isn’t just about fading star players. It’s about identifying projections that the public overlooks, often in matchups or stat types that feel less exciting.

So if you’re someone who’s only picking the biggest names or stacking all Mores, it might be time to reconsider. That’s not how most of the winning entries are being built.

What This Means for You

If you’re trying to get an edge in QuickPicks, there are two clear takeaways:

• Don’t ignore the Less side of a projection. It may not be as fun to root for, but it’s often where the most edge lies.

• Dig into MLB matchups. While the NBA and NHL are still in play, baseball is producing the most frequent top payouts on QuickPicks.

We’ll keep tracking these trends and updating the meta as it evolves. But for now, fading the hype and trusting the data might be your ticket to the top of the leaderboard.